Maximum Alpha

Created by Paul Hart

Screens

How names get in — and stay out

Maximum Alpha is Paul Hart's actively managed take on the Don Durrett playbook: buy gold and silver miners with honest share structures, real assets, and a discount to what the rocks are worth. The two books are equal-weight, capped at 100 names, and rebalanced every quarter.

  1. 01

    U.S. listed, including OTC

    NYSE, Nasdaq, NYSE American, OTCQX, OTCQB, and OTC Pink. No share-price floor — a fifty-cent developer is eligible if the rest of the screen holds.

  2. 02

    Fully diluted share count ≤ 1 billion

    Names above 1.0B FD shares are cut, even the household majors. Newmont, Barrick, Kinross, and B2Gold fail this screen today. Tight structure is non-negotiable.

  3. 03

    Developers at 0.50× NPV or less

    Both books only take development-stage companies when the current market value is half of NPV or cheaper. Producers are allowed a higher P/NAV if cash flow is growing.

  4. 04

    No unpayable debt

    Leverage is allowed only with a credible paydown plan funded by mine cash flow or a staged project financing — not hope. Distressed balance sheets are out.

  5. 05

    Majors: streamers, dividend payers, growing mid-tier

    Streaming and royalty companies sit in Alpha Major. Any producer that pays a dividend and clears the other screens is auto-included. Mid-tier names enter only if cash flow is growing.

  6. 06

    Juniors: near-term gold and silver developers

    Alpha Junior is the developer book — Hycroft, 1911 Gold, Silver Tiger, GoGold, Denarius and the rest of the near-term pipeline. Explorers with no path to a study stay off the sheet.

  7. 07

    Equal weight, 100-name cap, live drift

    Each name starts at an equal weight (1% at a full 100-stock book, or 1/N if the screened universe is smaller). As prices move, live weights are allowed to drift. The book is rebalanced quarterly.

Hard numbers

Maximum names per book
100
Target weight at capacity
1.00%
Fully diluted share cap
1,000 million
Developer P/NAV ceiling
50%
Share-price floor
None. OTC included.
Rebalance
Quarterly, equal weight

Newmont, Barrick, Kinross, and B2Gold currently fail the fully-diluted screen and are not in Alpha Major, even though they pay dividends. The dividend auto-include only fires after the structure, listing, and debt screens. Mid-tier producers without growing cash flow stay in the watchlist.